Great news for the McCain campaign!
Just kidding!
According to FiveThirtyEight, McCain's chance to win is at 2.8 percent, and his hopes are currently pinned on winning PA, where Obama has a 10 point lead.
Now I'm not saying that everything is wrapped up, and I hope turnout isn't stunted by overconfident Obama supporters or surrendering McCainiacs, but the chances of a McCain upset (Barring voting machine buggery) are very, very low.
According to FiveThirtyEight, McCain's chance to win is at 2.8 percent, and his hopes are currently pinned on winning PA, where Obama has a 10 point lead.
Now I'm not saying that everything is wrapped up, and I hope turnout isn't stunted by overconfident Obama supporters or surrendering McCainiacs, but the chances of a McCain upset (Barring voting machine buggery) are very, very low.
Posted by Venom Development on Friday, October 31, 2008 06:28PM
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#2 Venom Development:
Bootyboy wrote:
> As far as polling analysis goes, fivethirtyeight.com and pollster.com are probably the two most thorough sites.
>
> It's amazing how even polls are becoming unspinnable.
Yep, I like how 538's methodology is really clearly laid out, and is fairly unbiased (Though the owner is a big Obama supporter).
Friday, October 31, 2008 09:26PM
#1 Bootyboy:
As far as polling analysis goes, fivethirtyeight.com and pollster.com are probably the two most thorough sites.
It's amazing how even polls are becoming unspinnable.
Friday, October 31, 2008 09:17PM